I could have gone out an hour earlier in the same way and saved myself some time! Plus in the other tournament I played yesterday I was knocked out in the second hour when my JJ was rivered by 88 against an larger sized stack–but one that I could badly hurt–when a different river would have put me in a potentially winning position. Watch a replay of any hand played on Replay Poker. Sometimes I am a little bit cautious, because there are a limited number of MTTs on RP at an appropriate entry level, and you can’t always go out of a MTT and straight into another good game. I guess that in small stack poker, you mostly just have to go for it and take your licks when it doesn’t work out. On the other hand, if you were the player with AA, would you call my shove knowing that QQ and JJ, which were both plausible hands, were beating you? With a Q and a J on the flop, I was losing to AA, QQ, and JJ, so my shove was futile.

I guess I COULD have gotten away from it, except that I had already decided that I would play aggressively for a big stack early on, and did not mind going to bed early and reading a book. After all I held blockers to his AK, but none to AA. Obviously I hoped he had AK, but no such luck. I had a very short life in a tournament last night, and yet I KNEW that opponent had AA to my KK. This is 6 in 30,234, which would be right in line with the OP's results if he were on a 10-player table.I guess you can. Since we get dealt KK 1 time in 221 hands on average, to get the overall probability of being dealt KK and facing AA we multiply 22.8 by 221 to get about 1 in 5039. For this problem, the numbers given in that post assume that you already hold KK, and give the odds that AA is out.įor a 10-player table, we see that the odds of AA being out when you hold KK is about 21.8-to-1, or 1 in 22.8. Results are given for 10 and 6 player tables, with a link to some results for 9 and 4 player tables. This post gives the method to get the exact answers for this and similar problems, along with a more accurate approximation at the bottom.

This is an approximation since the hands are not independent. These numbers come from 221*221/(N-1), where N is the number of players. If it's a heads up game, the odds are 1 in 48841 hands. The odds of running KK into AA depend completely on the number of opponents at the table. You've been dealt a few less than normal, but nothing too unusual there. The odds of getting dealt KK are 1 in 221.

Poker aa vs kk